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Dynamic Changes in Vegetation and Driving Mechanisms at the Northern Edge of the Kubuqi Desert
摘要: Based on multi-source time-series data from 2017 to 2024, this study comprehensively employed Theil-Sen trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test, random forest regression model, and spatial and temporal lag correlation analysis to systematically investigate the variation characteristics of NDVI and their associated mechanisms with land use changes and groundwater depth in the study area. The results indicate that vegetation activity showed overall significant improvement during the study period, with 60.93% of the area exhibiting significant greening trends and only 6.55% showing degradation. The trajectory characteristics of land use changes could explain approximately 79.64% of the variation in NDVI trends, but their driving effects demonstrated significant spatial heterogeneity, with core driving zones accounting for 79.22% of the area. Groundwater depth showed an overall weak negative correlation with NDVI (r = -0.046 4), but exhibited significant lag effects, and the correlation coefficient increased to -0.176 3 when there was a lag of 3 months. The study concludes that regional vegetation changes were primarily driven by land use activities, while the influences of groundwater showed spatial and temporal lag characteristics. Ecological restoration policies should integrate land use optimization with water resource management, and fully consider the spatial heterogeneity and temporal lag effects of driving mechanisms.
关键词: Kubuqi Desert; NDVI; Groundwater depth; Theil-Sen trend analysis; Land use change
Analysis of Causes and Mesoscale Cloud Clusters of a Backflow Blizzard Process in Central Inner Mongolia
摘要: Based on the conventional observation data, daily reanalysis data from NCAR/NCEP, and TBB data derived from FY-2G infrared cloud images in April 2018, a heavy snowfall weather process in central Inner Mongolia from April 4 to 6 in 2018 was analyzed. The results show that the low trough at 500 hPa, the southerly wind jet stream at 700 hPa, and the inverted trough on the ground were the main influencing systems causing this blizzard. The transportation of warm and humid air by the southerly wind jet stream at 700 hPa and intense water vapor convergence provided sufficient water vapor conditions for the blizzard, and the moist layer in the blizzard area was deep. The low-level MPV in the blizzard area was <0, and the atmosphere was in a conditional symmetric instability state. The coupling of the upper and lower-level jets induced strong ascending motion. With the invasion of cold air, a low-level cold pad was formed, so that the warm and humid air tilted upward. The secondary circulation updraft triggered by the wet Q vector system released the conditional symmetric instability energy, so that the sloping motion was more intense, and the heavy snowfall appeared. Meanwhile, there was a good correspondence relationship between the blizzard area and the large-value area of low-level wet Q vector divergence. The mesoscale cloud clusters continuously generated, merged, and moved eastward in Hetao area was the direct cause of this blizzard, and the TBB of the cloud clusters was ≤ -56 ℃. The blizzard happened in the the edge gradient and large-value area of TBB.
关键词: Blizzard; Cold pad; Conditional symmetric instability; Wet Q vector; Mesoscale cloud cluster
Construction and Application Practice of the Data-driven Comprehensive Management Platform for Regional Air Quality
摘要: To address the severe challenges of PM2.5 and ozone co-control during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and to enhance the precision and intelligence level of air environment governance, it is imperative to build an efficient comprehensive management platform for regional air quality. In this paper, the specific practice in Zibo City, Shandong Province is as an example to  systematically analyze the top-level design, technical implementation, and innovative application of a comprehensive management platform for regional air quality integrating "perception monitoring, data fusion, research judgment of early warnings, analysis of sources, collaborative dispatching, and evaluation assessment". Through the construction of an "sky-air-ground" integrated three-dimensional monitoring network, the platform integrates multi-source heterogeneous environmental data, and employs big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, CALPUFF/CMAQ, and other numerical model technologies to achieve comprehensive perception, precise prediction, intelligent source tracing, and closed-loop management of air pollution. The platform innovatively establishes a full-process closed-loop management mechanism of "data-early warning-disposition-evaluation", and achieves a fundamental transformation from passive response to active anticipation and from experience-based judgment to data driving in environmental supervision. The application results show that this platform significantly improves the scientific decision-making ability and collaborative execution efficiency of air pollution governance in Zibo City, providing a replicable and scalable comprehensive solution for similar industrial cities to achieve the continuous improvement of air quality.
关键词: Comprehensive management of air quality; Big data; Internet of Things; Closed-loop management; Data driving; Off-site supervision
From Index Evaluation to Intelligent Sensing: Paradigm Shift in Research on Tourism Climate Comfort and Prospects under Technological Enabling
摘要: Research on tourism climate comfort is undergoing a paradigm shift from classic static assessment to intelligent dynamic sensing. Early models such as temperature-humidity index and tourism climate index, established based on data of meteorological stations, laid the foundation for the discipline but were unable to meet the dynamic demands of climate change, spatial heterogeneity, and individual experience. Global climate change is reshaping the landscape of tourism comfort and driving the assessment to shift towards future risk prediction. Downscaling technology becomes the key to connecting global scenarios and local assessments. Remote sensing and Internet of Things technologies have constructed a "sky-ground" collaborative sensing network, achieving a revolution in data acquisition. Artificial intelligence and big data analysis serve as the intelligent core to drive research from description to prediction. The new paradigm has significant potential in improving assessment accuracy and timeliness, but also faces challenges such as data integration, model interpretability, interdisciplinary integration, and ethical privacy. In the future, it is needed to develop interpretable AI, construct climate digital twins, and promote full-chain coupling research. This transformation is not merely an upgrade of methods, but a fundamental shift in the study of philosophy from an "environment-centered" perspective to an "experience-centered" one, providing key scientific support for sustainable tourism.
关键词: Tourism climate comfort; Paradigm shift; Climate change; Remote sensing; Internet of Things; Artificial intelligence