刊名 |
Meteorological and Environmental Research |
作者 |
Rui MA*, Peiqiang WANG,Yuhang YANG |
作者单位 |
Langzhong Meteorological Bureau, Langzhong 637400, China |
DOI |
10.19547/j.issn2152-3940.2024.05.011 |
年份 |
2024 |
刊期 |
5 |
页码 |
41-44 |
关键词 |
Tourism meteorological index; Climate assessment; Correlation analysis; Prediction method; Langzhong City |
摘要 |
Based on the meteorological data of Langzhong from 2010 to 2020, the human body comfort index was calculated, and tourism climate comfort was evaluated to established the prediction equation of tourism meteorological index. OLS was used to compare the correlation between actual tourist flow and tourism meteorological index and test the model effect. Average correlation coefficient R was 0.701 7, so the correlation was strong, and P value was 0. The two were significantly correlated at 0.01 level (bilateral). It can be seen that the forecast equation of tourism meteorological index had a strong correlation with the actual number of tourists, and the predicted value was basically close to the actual situation, and the forecast effect is good. |