Establishment of Prediction Method of Tourism Meteorological Index in Langzhong Ancient City
刊名 Meteorological and Environmental Research
作者 Rui MA*, Peiqiang WANG,Yuhang YANG
作者单位 Langzhong Meteorological Bureau, Langzhong 637400, China
DOI 10.19547/j.issn2152-3940.2024.05.011
年份 2024
刊期 5
页码 41-44
关键词 Tourism meteorological index; Climate assessment; Correlation analysis; Prediction method; Langzhong City
摘要 Based on the meteorological data of Langzhong from 2010 to 2020, the human body comfort index was calculated, and tourism climate comfort was evaluated to established the prediction equation of tourism meteorological index. OLS was used to compare the correlation between actual tourist flow and tourism meteorological index and test the model effect. Average correlation coefficient R was 0.701 7, so the correlation was strong, and P value was 0. The two were significantly correlated at 0.01 level (bilateral). It can be seen that the forecast equation of tourism meteorological index had a strong correlation with the actual number of tourists, and the predicted value was basically close to the actual situation, and the forecast effect is good.